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BREAKING: Lottery Admissions Plan for No. 1 High School. Earns 'F.'

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BREAKING: Lottery Admissions Plan for No. 1 High School. Earns 'F.'

Fairfax County to Eliminate Merit Admissions at No. 1 High School

Asra Q. Nomani
Sep 15, 2020
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BREAKING: Lottery Admissions Plan for No. 1 High School. Earns 'F.'

asrainvestigates.substack.com

By Asra Q. Nomani

Fairfax County Public Schools uploaded a flawed plan to eliminate the race-blind, merit-based admissions to America’s No. 1 high school and replace it with a euphemism it calls “merit lottery,” but there is little merit and more lottery.

The plan has already drawn wide criticism from parents and community members, earning an “F” for its failure to engage the public with transparency and offer effective strategies for Thomas Jefferson High School for Science and Technology.

Here is the plan with analysis to come in this column. Please add your comments below.

The bottomline: You get a 3.5 GPA and you get put into a “Merit Lottery.”

3:36 p.m. FCPS hasn’t even issued its proposal to the school board but the word has spread. Students, parents and community members hate it.

Some feedback.

ADMISSIONS MERIT LOTTERY PROPOSAL SCHOOL BOARD WORK SESSION 9/15/2020

School Board Work Session 9/15/2020

1. TJ Admissions “Merit Lottery” Proposal

Fairfax County Public schools gives its “proposal” quite the euphemism: “merit lottery.” It’s an oxymoron. And this is not really a “proposal.” The timeline (below) makes it clear this is a scheme that is not a “proposal” but an action plan.

2. “Leading with equity”

Brabrand says TJ should “reflect the diversity of FCPS, the community and Northern Virginia.” FCPS officials are setting the stage for their final ultimatum: match TJ demographics to the demographics of “Northern Virginia,” to “enhance” another concept of critical race theory: “diversity and inclusion.”

Fairfax County implemented an “equity” plan, called “One Fairfax,” that was imported from consultants outside the county.

3. Setting the Benchmark

In Fairfax County, almost one of three Fairfax County public school students are economically disadvantaged students, and almost one of three students is an English language learner.

In Fairfax County, racial demographics split up this way: 37.8 percent are white; 19.5 percent are Asian; 26.8 percent are Hispanic; 9.8 percent are Black; and 5.8 percent are two or more races.

Remember the idea TJ should “reflect the diversity of FCPS” set forward? Now you know what’s coming….

4. Show the Asian Surge

Look at the data, they show. It’s a surge in Asians. The Asian invasion.

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*FCPS students only

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*FCPS students only

Raw numbers not provided due to confidentiality requirements pursuant to VA. Code 2.23705.4(1)

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History of Admissions Changes

School Board Work Session 9/15/2020

2011 (Class of 2016) – Outreach Specialist Position Created

2013 (Class of 2018) – Holistic Review
• Student Information Sheet proctored

2014 (Class of 2019) – Sliding Scale Adjusted
• Minimum semifinalist requirements lowered

2015 (Class of 2020) – Problem Solving Essay Added

2016 (Class of 2021) – Outreach Specialist Reduced to 0.5 Position

2017 (Class of 2022) – New Tests Introduced
• Quant-Q and ACT Aspire Reading & Science

These changes have not made a significant impact on

the application pool or admitted student demographics

6

Current Admissions Process

School Board Work Session 9/15/2020

Application

• Application Fee ($100) • Core GPA 3.0
• Algebra I
• 8th grade/residency

Semifinalist Considerations

  • Percentile Ranks
    • Quant-Q
    • ACT Aspire Reading • ACT Aspire Science

  • Maintain Core GPA 3.0

    Holistic Review

    • Teacher Recommendations • Student Information Sheet
    • Problem Solving Essay
    • Percentile Ranks

    • Math & Science GPA

    Offers

    • Top 480-500 students receive offers

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Impact of Testing – Class of 2015

School Board Work Session 9/15/2020

• Admissions Testing has been a barrier for historically underrepresented students to move to the semifinalist stage.

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English Language Learners – 8.2% Economically Disadvantaged – 7.3%

English Language Learners – 4.1% Economically Disadvantaged – 1.6%

Raw numbers not provided due to confidentiality requirements pursuant to VA. Code 2.23705.4(1)

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Impact of Testing – Class of 2019

School Board Work Session 9/15/2020

• Admissions Testing has been a barrier for historically underrepresented students to move to the semifinalist stage.

English Language Learners – 2.6% English Language Learners – 1.1% Economically Disadvantaged – 6.0% Economically Disadvantaged – 2.1%

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Raw numbers not provided due to confidentiality requirements pursuant to VA. Code 2.23705.4(1)

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Impact of Testing – Class of 2024

School Board Work Session 9/15/2020

• Admissions Testing has been a barrier for historically underrepresented students to move to the semifinalist stage.

English Language Learners – 2.7% English Language Learners – 0.6% Economically Disadvantaged – 7.2% Economically Disadvantaged – 1.4%

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Raw numbers not provided due to confidentiality requirements pursuant to VA. Code 2.23705.4(1)

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Merit Lottery Proposal

Expanding Our Talent Search

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School Board Work Session 9/15/2020

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Process Overview

School Board Work Session 9/15/2020

Current Process

Application Requirements • Coreclass3.0GPA
• EnrolledinAlgebraI
• ResidencyRequirements • ApplicationFee

• AssessmentPercentileRanking • Quant-Q

• ACT Aspire Reading & Science Holistic Review

• StudentInformationSheet
• GPA
• TeacherRecommendations
• Problem-solving Essay
• AssessmentPercentileRanking

Proposed Process
 Application Requirements

  • CoreClass3.5GPA

  • EnrolledinAlgebraI

  • ResidencyRequirements

  • Revised Student Information Sheet to include questionnaire/essay

     Selection by Merit Lottery Removes:

    • ApplicationFee
    • AssessmentPercentileRanking • TeacherRecommendations
    • Problem-solving Essay

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Merit Lottery Process

School Board Work Session 9/15/2020

Students are placed into
lottery pathways after a holistic review.

Rolling

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AdmissioStnudsents are randomly selected within

their pathways. Process

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Offer letters are sent.

Students have a designated timeframe to accept or reject their offer.

Rolling admissions are established to keep a class of 500.

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Pathways

•

Pathways have been designed to ensure equitable access for students across all regions in FCPS and participating jurisdictions

  • Arlington County

  • Fairfax County

  • Falls Church City

  • Loudoun County

  • Prince William County

    Qualified students will be selected by a merit lottery within each pathway

•

School Board Work Session 9/15/2020

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School Board Work Session 9/15/2020

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Pathway Composition

School Board Work Session 9/15/2020

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page15image1691089200
  • FCPS: 350 seats (70 per region)

  • Loudoun: 62 seats

  • Arlington: 18 seats

  • Falls Church: 2 seats

  • Prince William: 68 seats

  • Private school applicants will be assigned a pathway based on residency

Region 1 Region 2

Loudoun

Prince William

Region 5

page15image1691125952
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The numbers represented are based on the allowed ratio student cap for the 2019-2020 freshman application

Region 3
Region 4

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FCPS Regional Pathways

School Board Work Session 9/15/2020

page16image1834203328

Region 1 Carson Cooper Herndon Hughes Thoreau

Region 2 Glasgow Holmes Jackson Kilmer Longfellow Poe

Region 3 Hayfield Key Sandburg Twain Whitman

Region 4 Irving
Lake Braddock Liberty Robinson South County

Region 5 Franklin Frost Lanier Rocky Run Stone

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Applicants will be placed in Region based on the students’ base school

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Rolling Admissions Process

School Board Work Session 9/15/2020

page17image1834339552
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Each pathway will maintain a list of students not chosen in the initial merit lottery. Students will be placed on the list in the order their names were drawn.

AdmissOipoeninsgs in each pathway will be filled with the first name on the list for that pathway.

page17image1834370944

Rolling

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Process

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Should a non-FCPS pathway exhaust its list of students, the next eligible candidate off the FCPS list will be chosen.

As needed, additional applicants will be offered on the 1st and 15th of every month through end of 1st Quarter in order to maintain a class of 500.

Any student who declines the offer of admission will be removed from eligibility.

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Impact of Merit Lottery – Class of 2015

School Board Work Session 9/15/2020

page18image1691063264

Percent of Offered Students Using Current Holistic Process

Percent of Offered Students Using Merit Lottery

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page18image1690918608
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Economically Disadvantaged: 2.9% English Language Learners: 0.8%

Economically Disadvantaged: 7.0% English Language Learners: 8.9%

Raw numbers not provided due to confidentiality requirements pursuant to VA. Code 2.23705.4(1)

18

Impact of Merit Lottery – Class of 2019

School Board Work Session 9/15/2020

Percent of Offered Students Using Current Holistic Process

Percent of Offered Students Using Merit Lottery

Economically Disadvantaged: 8.8% English Language Learners: 2.3%

page19image1883613616
page19image1883613920
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Economically Disadvantaged: 1.2% English Language Learners: 1.0%

Raw numbers not provided due to confidentiality requirements pursuant to VA. Code 2.23705.4(1)

19

Impact of Merit Lottery – Class of 2024

School Board Work Session 9/15/2020

Percent of Offered Students Using Current Holistic Process

Percent of Offered Students Using Merit Lottery

Economically Disadvantaged: 10.3% English Language Learners: 3.4%

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Economically Disadvantaged: 0.6% English Language Learners: 0.6%

Raw numbers not provided due to confidentiality requirements pursuant to VA. Code 2.23705.4(1)

20

Critical Decision Timeline:

dCurrent Process

• Application • Fall

• OrderingofTestingMaterials
• Beginning of October (paper or online)

• Testing
• Late Fall

• SemifinalistRelease • Mid –January

page21image1834493616

School Board Work Session 9/15/2020

21

•

Final Offers • April

Critical Decision Timeline:

dRevised Process

Board and Community Input
• CommunityOutreach/TownHalls

• Late September/early October • FinalProposal

• October 8 School Board meeting If Recommended

• Targeted Outreach
• Revisions to Regulation 3355

• Late fall
• Development of Revised Process

• Fall/winter • Application

• December/January

• Implement Merit Lottery • February/March

School Board Work Session 9/15/2020

22

Targeted Outreach

School Board Work Session 9/15/2020

Present to students in every public school (FCPS and participating jurisdictions)

Present to parents and the community in evening sessions Send recruitment emails/letters to all eligible students

Conduct a virtual open house to include a tour, student speakers, teachers presenting their programs, and an overview of student supports

Conduct targeted recruitment of underrepresented students

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School Board Work Session 9/15/2020

Additional Work

  • Enhancingtheadmissionsprocessisone step in a multi-pronged strategy

  • Enhancingandexpandingthepipelineby ensuring equitable access to rigorous STEM instruction at the elementary and middle school level

  • EnsuringaCaringCultureforallTJHSST students

    • Transition resources for students

    • Professional development for staff

• Supporting unique needs of all learners

• Wrap-around support for students

24

School Board Work Session 9/15/2020

Appendix

Links to other schools using a Lottery System. Many of these schools are highly rated (US News Report) and use a similar variety of the lottery model to select students.

http://www.enrollbasis.com/enrollment/enrollment-faqs/ (Basis – Arizona)https://www.gcpsk12.org/domain/6040 (Gwinnett)

https://ics.lwsd.org/about-us/application-process (International Community School - Washington)

http://www.mps.k12.al.us/for_parents/magnet_schools (Loveless/Montgomery Schools)

https://rahs.highlineschools.org/admissions/lottery-process (Raisbeck)https://www.usnews.com/education/best-high-schools/national-rankings/stem

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BREAKING: Lottery Admissions Plan for No. 1 High School. Earns 'F.'

asrainvestigates.substack.com
5 Comments
Parent
Sep 19, 2020Liked by Asra Q. Nomani

Why don’t we just shut down TJ instead? Let’s give up #1 high school in Virginia overnight instead of seeing this happen after the public officials who proposed such ridiculous change move to other higher positions, without being held accountable at all for any mess they created. Return all the taxes I paid so that we can afford to send kids to private schools which will not consider any lottery system. Do our children worth less than private-schools kids? They have to bet their future on chance, right? Do they deserve fair treatment or not? Will their effort matter or only money can buy them justice?

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Steve
Sep 17, 2020

Lottery for education? How many people with winning lotteries have succeeded in the past? How about make sports team as lottery based? Even better, make election process as lottery based too. What a joke!

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